THE MILLEGAN MEMO: FEB-JUNE
At Woodworth, we like value because it usually survives the sort of adversity that exposes everything else. This month’s Memo is about exactly that: puncturing market delusions when hype gets stupid, defending the radical act of owning boring cash-flow businesses like Kraft Heinz, and looking back to June 1775, when America tried to finance a revolution with paper promises, confidence, and the fiscal discipline of a tavern dare. From SpaceX mania to Continentals that became “not worth a Continental,” the lesson is the same: a good story can move money for a while, but reality eventually sends the invoice.
— Managing Partners Drew Millegan & Quinn Millegan
WHY YOU SHOULD NOT BUY THE SPACEX IPO
The SpaceX IPO may be pitched as the moonshot of the decade, but Wall Street’s “biggest IPO ever” script usually has a funny way of making issuers, insiders, and underwriters rich before ordinary long-term buyers get their turn. In our latest contrarian breakdown, we look past the confetti and ask the only question that matters: who is this deal really for? From first-day IPO pops to lockup expirations, thin floats, and the ugly history of marquee listings, this is a reminder that the smartest move may be skipping the launch-day circus and waiting for the post-hype hangover.